Saturday, 18 February 2012

How do we know if we're in a bubble?

I just read a paper by famous Economist Hyman Minsky, (1919-1996) in which he investigates the recurring instability in markets and developed the idea that there are seven stages in any economic bubble, (even the Dotcom). They are:

1: Disturbance,
2: Expansion / Prices start to go up,
3: Euphoria/ Easy Credit,
4: Over-trading / Prices Reach a Peak,
5: Market Reversal / Insider Profit Taking,
6: Financial Crisis,
7: Revulsion / Lender of Last Resort.

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